Ahead of the market: 10 things that will determine stock market action on Monday

Indian markets closed lower on Friday, with the Sensex and Nifty inching lower as investors crossed near record highs with thin year-end trading and continued foreign outflows tempering risk appetite. The pullback capped a sluggish session marked by light participation and selective selling among index heavyweights.

The BSE Sensex ended down 367 points, or 0.4%, at 85,041.45, while the NSE Nifty 50 fell 0.4% to 26,042.3, slipping below 26,050.

Here’s how analysts read the pulse of the market:

Domestic equities closed lower today on year-end trading volume and a cautious mood ahead of upcoming earnings, said Vinod Nair, head of research at Geojit Investments, adding that optimism around a Santa Claus rally has waned while the absence of trade deals in the US, such as a possible US-India deal. Continued FII outflows weighed on the Indian rupee.

“Large-cap stocks underperformed mid- and small-cap counterparts, although metals and consumer durables remained the preferred strength, while IT, auto and banks saw continued selling pressure,” Nair said.

Also Read | Trading Nifty in Last Week of 2025: Levels, Trends and Santa Rally Question

Live events

      US markets

      US stocks edged closer to record levels in thin post-Christmas trading on Friday, as a lack of fresh catalyst kept investors from taking strong directional bets. All three major indexes moved into narrow ranges after a five-session advance that saw the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average close at record highs.

      The Dow was down 78.35 points, or 0.16%, at 48,651.67. The S&P 500 was down 0.58 points, or 0.01%, at 6,931.47, while the Nasdaq Composite was up 21.06 points, or 0.09%, at 23,634.36.

      European markets

      Public holidays closed most European markets, but exchanges remained open higher as investors positioned themselves for a positive finish to the year.

      Tech View

      The RSI is in a bearish crossover and reflecting lower momentum, indicating an increase in bearish bets two days after the rangebound phase in recent sessions, as the Nifty continued to underperform, said Rupak De, senior technical analyst at LKP Securities.

      “During the session, the Nifty found support near the 26,000 level, where the 21 EMA is currently placed. In the near term, the trend may improve and pull back towards 26,200 and above, though 26,000 holds decisively. However, a move below 26,000 may trigger sustained weakness,” Dee said.

      Also Read | Market Outlook: Top factors to track this week include FII trends, monthly closes

      Most active stocks in terms of turnover

      The most active B9SE International (Rs. 90 crore) were in stock. High activity in a counter in terms of terms value can help identify counters with the highest trading turnover in a day.

      Most active stocks in terms of volume

      Vodafone Idea (traded shares: 51.69 crore), IRFC (traded shares: 16.39 crore), RVNL (traded shares: 10.29 crore), Hindustan Copper (traded shares: 9.63 crore), Ola Electric Mobility (traded shares: 9.4 crore and HTCMM 8 crore) and HTC 8 crore (traded shares: 8 crore). 9.4 crore). (Shares traded: 5.9 crore) was one of the most actively traded stocks in terms of volume on the NSE.

      Stocks show interest in buying

      Shares of RVNL, MMTC, IRFC, Hindustan Copper, Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation, Railtel Corporation of India and Karur Vysya Bank witnessed strong buying interest from market participants.

      Also Read | Market Trading Guide: Buy NBCC and Dalmia India on Monday for up to 11% gains. Here’s why

      52 week high

      Over 112 stocks touched their 52-week highs today, while 120 stocks slipped to their 52-week lows. Hindustan Copper and Titan touched their 52-week highs.

      Selling pressure is seen in stocks

      Significant selling pressure was seen from HFCL, Reliance Power, Brainbees Solutions, Coforge, Advent Hotels International, Motilal Oswal and CreditAccess Gramin.

      Sentiment meter bearish

      Market sentiment was bearish. Out of 4,379 stocks traded on BSE on Friday, 2,540 stocks declined, 1,690 stocks gained, while 149 stocks remained unchanged.

      (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, opinions and views given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times.)

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