Alan Lichtman, often called the “Nostradamus” of US presidential elections, is blaming the “explosion” of disinformation and billionaire Elon Musk for his incorrect prediction that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 election. Mr. Lichtman, an American university professor, is famous for accurately predicting nine out of the last ten US elections. However, last week, the historian and political scientist harmed his remarkable record by predicting that Vice President Kamala Harris would win the 2024 presidential race. Now, talking to News NationMr. Lichtman provided a deeper explanation for his inaccurate forecast and pointed to conservative media platforms and Elon Musk, who pumped millions into Donald Trump’s campaign, as factors in his inaccurate forecast.
“Number one, disinformation. We’ve always had disinformation, but disinformation has expanded to unprecedented levels. You talked about a grievance election, but the majority of that grievance was driven by disinformation,” Mr. Lichtman told the outlet. .
The political scientist continued to name Elon Musk, the owner of X (formerly Twitter), who appeared at some of Donald Trump’s campaign rallies and became one of the loudest media cheerleaders. He claimed Mr Musk’s microblogging platform was used to spread misinformation about issues such as immigration, hurricane relief and the war in Ukraine.
“We’ve seen something new this time around – billionaire Elon Musk has put his thumb on the scale,” Mr Lichtman said.
“It has been reported that their misinformation was viewed billions, literally billions of times, and it spread to every aspect of this election,” he said.
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Mr. Lichtman’s method for predicting presidential election outcomes was based on a historical index model he calls “the White House key.” This unique system analyzes the political landscape through the lens of 13 true-false statements focused on the current president’s party. If six or more statements are wrong, the challenger is predicted to win.
in interview with News NationThe academic admitted that his methodology “probably” needed to be changed in light of the events of the past week. “The key premise is that a rational, pragmatic voter decides whether the White House Party has governed adequately for four more years. But if views of the White House Party are controlled by disinformation, Particularly those driven by those people, Mr. Lichtman said, “if they’re rich, have extraordinary influence beyond anyone else, then maybe the basis of the keys needs to be changed.”
In particular, Alan Lichtman has been predicting the outcomes of US presidential elections since 1984. He has accurately predicted the last nine out of 10 presidential races. Previously, he had also predicted that Mr Trump would be impeached during his presidency – which was done twice.
