Former President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump scored a landslide victory with his victory over Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris. Trump thanked his supporters and called it a ‘great victory for the American people’. But the victory left Alan Lichtman, the Nostradamus of American polls, at a loss for words as his prediction that Kamala Harris would win the presidential election went wrong.
Alan Lichtman was seen saying “I don’t get it” in a six-hour-long YouTube livestream with his son Sam as Donald Trump edged closer to victory. “This is the first moment of the night where I’ve lost a little bit of hope,” Sam Lichtman said after the American network called Pennsylvania a battleground for Trump.
Mr. Lichtman was clearly tired, stressed and frustrated. “It’s good that I don’t have anything to do tomorrow. And I’m not doing any interviews,” he said. “Democracy is gone,” he said, holding his head.
“Once democracy is gone, it is almost impossible to get it back. The path to recovery is for dictators to lose the war.”
On this, Sam Lichtman expressed hope that Trump would complete his term and “we will never have to deal with him again.” I can’t wrap my mind around how so many people can ignore all the work he’s done in 2020.
Mr Lichtman called Trump “too lazy” to govern.
“Democracy is precious, but like all precious things, it can be destroyed. And usually gets destroyed from within. And during the 21st century, democracy has declined everywhere around the world, and America now lags behind. But never lose hope. Never stop trying. Never stop trying, especially you young people,” Mr. Lichtman said before signing off. Mr. Lichtman, a historian, author and a rare political forecaster with a track record of election predictions, predicted that Kamala Harris would be America’s first female president.
“Set them (opinion polls) on fire,” Mr Lichtman told NDTV. “Yes, we’re going to have Kamala Harris, a trailblazing new president, the first female president and the first president of mixed African and Asian descent. It’s kind of a foreshadowing of where America is going. We’re rapidly becoming the majority—my Like old white people in a minority country, we’re on the decline,” Mr. Lichtman said.
Mr. Lichtman’s predictive model focuses on historical patterns, rejecting the idea that polls, campaign strategies, or even election demographics alone can determine the outcome. In 1981, he developed the 13 “Keys to the White House” system, which recognizes that governance, not campaign strategy, decides American elections. Their models have correctly predicted the winner of every election since 1984, including some when their findings were contrary to popular sentiment.
