For decades Beijing has sought to insulate its economy from precisely this kind of shock. It has poured investment into renewables, dominated much of the clean-energy supply chain and promoted electric vehicles at a remarkable pace. The result is that the economy is still dependent on imported fossil fuels but is seen to be less than before – providing some protection as oil prices have risen by as much as 65% since the conflict.
“The Chinese asset class is something that is missed by global investors as a safe haven,” said Kerry Yeung, head of Greater China Debt at Pictet Asset Management.
Global markets have been on a roller coaster since the war began in late February. Stocks fell as crude – which had briefly risen to around $120 a barrel – threatened to stall inflation and delay central bank easing, only to return to signals from Washington signaling a possible end to the fight.
Asian equities have been hit the hardest given the region’s heavy reliance on imported energy. Japan, Korea and India are down about 6%, 9% and 4% respectively since the end of February. European markets fell about 5% and US stocks fell 1.4%. Yet China’s CSI 300 fell just 0.3%. That means the Chinese investor has more capital saved than most major markets.
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